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Over the last 20 years, I have watched many new trends come onto the scene in IT and traverse their natural lifecycle along the S-shaped growth curve from “latest and greatest” to “old and tired”.
Gartner’s Hype Cycle and Geoffrey Moore’s Technology Adoption Lifecycle have proven over time to provide reliable signposts along this journey. Like all disruptions before it (and those that will follow) Cloud and its various children are making their way stepwise through adolescence towards broad acceptance and maturity.
Here what I’m expecting in 2011: